Playoff Picture Entering Week 17: Who's In, Who's Out, and Who's on the Bubble
- MANHOUR
- Dec 28, 2023
- 2 min read
The NFL playoff picture is coming into focus as we head into Week 17, with several teams vying for division titles and wild-card spots. The race for the top seeds in both the AFC and NFC is heating up, and every game has significant implications for the postseason.
AFC Playoff Standings:
Baltimore Ravens (12-3) - 100% playoff chance, 74% chance for No. 1 seed
Miami Dolphins (11-4) - 100% playoff chance, 25% chance for No. 1 seed
Kansas City Chiefs (9-6) - 95% playoff chance
Jacksonville Jaguars (8-7) - 70% playoff chance
Cleveland Browns (10-5) - >99% playoff chance
Buffalo Bills (9-6) - 87% playoff chance
Indianapolis Colts (8-7) - 51% playoff chance
The most anticipated matchup of Week 17 features the top two AFC contenders, the Ravens and the Dolphins. A win for the Ravens secures the No. 1 seed, while the Dolphins can clinch the AFC East title with a win. The Browns are still in the running for the No. 1 seed but need several scenarios to play out in their favor. Meanwhile, the Bills have seen their playoff probability skyrocket but need a win to secure their spot. The Colts, despite holding the No. 7 seed, are not in control of their playoff future and need specific outcomes to secure a spot.
NFC Playoff Standings:
San Francisco 49ers (11-4) - 100% playoff chance, 71% chance for No. 1 seed
Detroit Lions (11-4) - 100% playoff chance, 8% chance for No. 1 seed
Philadelphia Eagles (11-4) - 100% playoff chance, 20% chance for No. 1 seed
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (8-7) - 86% playoff chance
Dallas Cowboys (10-5) - 100% playoff chance
Los Angeles Rams (8-7) - 67% playoff chance
Seattle Seahawks (8-7) - 68% playoff chance
The 49ers are the overwhelming favorites for the No. 1 seed in the NFC, while the Rams have the largest playoff leverage and need a win to maintain control of their playoff future. The bubble teams in the NFC are fighting for their playoff lives, with the Vikings, Falcons, Packers, and Saints needing specific outcomes to secure a spot.
Who's on the Bubble?
The AFC and NFC bubble teams are fighting for their playoff lives, with several teams needing wins in Week 17 to boost their playoff potential. The Raiders and Bengals suffered setbacks, while the Steelers still have an outside shot at a wild-card slot.
So You're Saying There's a Chance...
Several teams have less than a 10% probability to earn a playoff spot, with the Broncos and Bears needing specific outcomes to keep their playoff hopes alive.
Who's Most Likely to Win Each Division?
The AFC and NFC division races are heating up, with the Dolphins, Ravens, Jaguars, Chiefs, Eagles, and Buccaneers all in contention for division titles. Every game in Week 17 has significant implications for the division races and playoff seeding.
As we head into the final week of the regular season, the playoff picture is coming into focus, with several teams fighting for their postseason lives. Every game has significant implications for the division races and playoff seeding, making Week 17 a thrilling conclusion to the NFL regular season.




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